New Mexico
W-L: (26-27) PR = 92.1959Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 7- 8 207 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 8 207 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 3- 0 208 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 0- 1 208 H Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 2- 0 213 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 4 213 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 3- 4 214 H Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 6- 4 214 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 1- 6 215 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 0- 1 220 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 6- 7 220 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 13- 7 221 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 9- 1 227 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 3- 6 227 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 7 228 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 11- 2 228 H Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 5- 0 301 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 301 H Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 303 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 3- 2 306 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 1 306 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 8 307 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 4 307 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 16- 1 308 A Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 4- 3 310 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 1- 9 313 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2- 7 314 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 1- 4 315 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 8 320 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 3- 4 321 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 0- 5 322 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 9- 8 328 A North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 9- 0 328 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 7- 7 329 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 3-10 402 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6- 1 403 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 9- 2 404 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6- 2 408 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 3 408 H UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 4- 8 411 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 12- 8 411 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 7-12 417 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 6-12 418 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 6- 5 419 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 12- 1 421 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 10- 6 424 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 2- 8 425 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 426 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 8 430 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 12- 2 501 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 11- 3 502 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 3- 1 507 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 6- 7 508 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 7-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Baylor 7- 8 -1 -3 1.77
207 H Mississippi State 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.41
207 A Northwestern State 3- 0 3 1 1.57
208 H Northwestern State 2- 0 2 3 -0.91
213 A Louisiana Tech 3- 4 -1 -1 0.33
213 A SE Louisiana 3- 4 -1 -2 1.21
214 H Northwestern State 6- 4 2 3 -0.91
214 H Nicholls 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.57
220 A Abilene Christian 6- 7 -1 4 -- -4.72
220 A Abilene Christian 13- 7 6 4 + 2.28
221 A Abilene Christian 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.28
227 H Tarleton State 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.46
227 H UTEP 8- 7 1 4 - -3.30
228 H Houston Christian 11- 2 9 5 ++ 4.01
228 H Tarleton State 5- 0 5 1 + 3.54
301 H Houston Christian 3- 2 1 5 - -3.99
301 H Houston Christian 3- 2 1 5 - -3.99
303 A UTEP 3- 2 1 3 -1.82
306 H Samford 2- 8 -6 3 --- -8.56
307 A Mississippi State 0- 4 -4 -5 1.07
307 A South Alabama 16- 1 15 -1 +++ 14.93
308 A Samford 4- 3 1 1 -0.07
310 A New Mexico State 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.54
313 H Grand Canyon 2- 7 -5 -3 - -2.27
314 H Grand Canyon 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.27
315 H Grand Canyon 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.27
320 A Colorado State 3- 4 -1 0 -1.03
321 A Colorado State 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.03
322 A Colorado State 9- 8 1 0 0.97
328 A North Dakota State 9- 0 9 -1 +++ 9.72
328 A Western Kentucky 7- 7 0 -2 + 2.14
329 H San Diego State 3-10 -7 1 --- -7.69
402 A Boise State 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.98
403 A Boise State 9- 2 7 -1 +++ 7.98
404 A Boise State 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.98
408 H UNLV 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.43
408 H UIC 4- 8 -4 4 --- -8.19
411 A Nevada 12- 8 4 -4 +++ 7.99
411 A Nevada 7-12 -5 -4 -1.01
417 H Fresno State 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.34
418 H Fresno State 6- 5 1 1 -0.34
419 H Fresno State 12- 1 11 1 +++ 9.66
421 H New Mexico State 10- 6 4 1 + 2.98
424 A San José State 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.54
425 H UTEP 8- 0 8 4 + 3.70
426 H Southern Miss 1- 8 -7 1 --- -8.28
430 A San José State 12- 2 10 2 +++ 8.46
501 H Utah State 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.46
502 H Utah State 3- 1 2 4 -1.54
507 A Grand Canyon 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.22
508 A Grand Canyon 7-11 -4 -4 0.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Samford 2- 8 -6 3 --- -8.56 310 A New Mexico State 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.54 329 H San Diego State 3-10 -7 1 --- -7.69 408 H UIC 4- 8 -4 4 --- -8.19 417 H Fresno State 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.34 424 A San José State 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.54 426 H Southern Miss 1- 8 -7 1 --- -8.28 214 H Nicholls 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.57 220 A Abilene Christian 6- 7 -1 4 -- -4.72 227 H Tarleton State 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.46 315 H Grand Canyon 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.27 321 A Colorado State 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.03 207 H Mississippi State 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.41 227 H UTEP 8- 7 1 4 - -3.30 301 H Houston Christian 3- 2 1 5 - -3.99 301 H Houston Christian 3- 2 1 5 - -3.99 313 H Grand Canyon 2- 7 -5 -3 - -2.27 408 H UNLV 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A South Alabama 16- 1 15 -1 +++ 14.93 328 A North Dakota State 9- 0 9 -1 +++ 9.72 403 A Boise State 9- 2 7 -1 +++ 7.98 411 A Nevada 12- 8 4 -4 +++ 7.99 419 H Fresno State 12- 1 11 1 +++ 9.66 430 A San José State 12- 2 10 2 +++ 8.46 221 A Abilene Christian 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.28 228 H Houston Christian 11- 2 9 5 ++ 4.01 402 A Boise State 6- 1 5 -1 ++ 5.98 404 A Boise State 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.98 501 H Utah State 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.46 220 A Abilene Christian 13- 7 6 4 + 2.28 228 H Tarleton State 5- 0 5 1 + 3.54 328 A Western Kentucky 7- 7 0 -2 + 2.14 421 H New Mexico State 10- 6 4 1 + 2.98 425 H UTEP 8- 0 8 4 + 3.70 507 A Grand Canyon 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 7- 8 -5.67 13.70 0.74 0.47 -1.15
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 1- 8 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.47 -0.96
3 A Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 3- 0 -9.87 9.50 0.74 0.47 9.56
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 0- 1 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.47 -1.05
3 H Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 2- 0 -9.87 9.50 -0.74 0.47 8.17
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 4 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.47 -1.49
3 A SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 3- 4 -6.23 13.14 0.74 0.47 -1.28
3 H Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 6- 4 -9.87 9.50 -0.74 0.47 8.17
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 1- 6 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.47 -1.93
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 0- 1 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.47 -1.01
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 6- 7 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.47 -2.67
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 13- 7 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.47 7.42
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 9- 1 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.47 7.42
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 3- 6 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.47 -2.14
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 7 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.47 6.87
3 H Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 11- 2 -11.96 7.41 -0.74 0.47 6.23
3 H Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 5- 0 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.47 9.52
3 H Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 -11.96 7.41 -0.74 0.47 6.23
3 H Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 3- 2 -11.96 7.41 -0.74 0.47 6.23
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 3- 2 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.47 8.26
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 1 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.47 -0.61
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 2- 8 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.47 -2.39
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 4 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.47 -0.61
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 16- 1 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.47 11.76
3 A Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 4- 3 -9.52 9.85 0.74 0.47 9.89
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 1- 9 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.47 -1.69
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2- 7 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.47 -1.16
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 1- 4 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.47 -1.16
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 0- 8 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 0.47 -1.16
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 3- 4 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.47 -1.80
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 0- 5 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.47 -1.80
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 9- 8 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.47 10.87
3 A North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 9- 0 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.47 11.57
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 7- 7 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.47 0.00
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 3-10 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.47 -1.96
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 6- 1 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.47 11.80
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 9- 2 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.47 11.80
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 6- 2 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.47 11.80
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 2- 3 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.47 -2.13
3 H UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 4- 8 -11.15 8.22 -0.74 0.47 -2.78
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 12- 8 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.47 14.62
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 7-12 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.47 -0.87
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 6-12 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.47 -2.11
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 6- 5 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.47 9.64
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 12- 1 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.47 9.64
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 10- 6 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.47 9.94
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 2- 8 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.47 -2.16
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 0 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.47 6.87
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 8 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.47 -2.10
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 12- 2 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.47 9.45
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 11- 3 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.47 7.59
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 3- 1 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.47 7.59
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 6- 7 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.47 -0.81
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 7-11 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.47 -0.81
------
197.11
|
winning pts = 238.9075 losing points = -41.7982
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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